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Completing the Forecast
Committee On Estimating And Communicating Uncertainty In Weather And Climate Forecasts; Board On Atmospheric Sciences & Climate; Division On Earth An
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Description for Completing the Forecast
Paperback. The National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. This book makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition. Num Pages: 124 pages, illustrations. BIC Classification: RBP. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 217 x 282 x 12. Weight in Grams: 390.
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. ... Read more
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. ... Read more
Product Details
Format
Paperback
Publication date
2006
Publisher
National Academies Press United States
Number of pages
124
Condition
New
Number of Pages
124
Place of Publication
Washington, United States
ISBN
9780309102551
SKU
V9780309102551
Shipping Time
Usually ships in 5 to 9 working days
Ref
99-3
About Committee On Estimating And Communicating Uncertainty In Weather And Climate Forecasts; Board On Atmospheric Sciences & Climate; Division On Earth An
Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, National Research Council
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