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Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth
Phaedra Daipha
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Description for Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth
Paperback. Num Pages: 272 pages. BIC Classification: RBP. Category: (G) General (US: Trade). .
Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating their performance than stockbrokers, physicians, or other decision-making experts precisely because they receive feedback on their decisions in near real time. Following forecasters in their quest for truth and accuracy, therefore, holds the key to the analytically elusive process of decision making as it actually happens. In Masters of Uncertainty, Phaedra Daipha develops a new conceptual framework for the process of decision making, after spending years immersed in the life of a ... Read more
Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating their performance than stockbrokers, physicians, or other decision-making experts precisely because they receive feedback on their decisions in near real time. Following forecasters in their quest for truth and accuracy, therefore, holds the key to the analytically elusive process of decision making as it actually happens. In Masters of Uncertainty, Phaedra Daipha develops a new conceptual framework for the process of decision making, after spending years immersed in the life of a ... Read more
Product Details
Publisher
University Of Chicago Press United States
Number of pages
272
Format
Paperback
Publication date
2015
Condition
New
Number of Pages
280
Place of Publication
, United States
ISBN
9780226298689
SKU
V9780226298689
Shipping Time
Usually ships in 7 to 11 working days
Ref
99-50
About Phaedra Daipha
Phaedra Daipha is assistant professor of sociology at Rutgers University.
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