The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Product Details
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Reviews for The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Guardian
Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling
Financial Times
It has altered modern thinking
The Times
Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot
Sunday Times
The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works
Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling
Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics The most prophetic voice of all
GQ