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26%OFFPhilip Tetlock - Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction - 9781847947154 - 9781847947154
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

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Description for Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Paperback. What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? This title shows that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Num Pages: 352 pages. BIC Classification: JFFR; JM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 131 x 197 x 23. Weight in Grams: 248.
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER WINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD 'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at ... Read more

Product Details

Publication date
2016
Condition
New
Publisher
Cornerstone
Format
Paperback
Number of Pages
352
Place of Publication
London, United Kingdom
ISBN
9781847947154
SKU
9781847947154
Shipping Time
Usually ships in 2 to 4 working days
Ref
99-1

About Philip Tetlock
Philip Tetlock is Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania. He is the author of several books on politics and psychology, including Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics and the award-winning Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Dan Gardner is a journalist, author and lecturer. He is the ... Read more

Reviews for Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.
Economist
A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.
Independent
This marvelous book ... Read more

Goodreads reviews for Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction


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