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Troffaes, Matthias C. M.; de Cooman, Gert - Lower Previsions - 9780470723777 - V9780470723777
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Lower Previsions

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Description for Lower Previsions Written by authorities in the field, Lower Previsions illustrates how the theory of Lower Previsions can be extended to cover a larger set of random quantities. The text highlights a crucial problem in the theory of imprecise probability and provides a detailed theory on how to resolve it. Series: Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics. Num Pages: 448 pages, Illustrations. BIC Classification: PBT. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly; (UU) Undergraduate. Dimension: 237 x 151 x 26. Weight in Grams: 696.

This book has two main purposes. On the one hand, it provides a
concise and systematic development of the theory of lower previsions,
based on the concept of acceptability, in spirit of the work of
Williams and Walley. On the other hand, it also extends this theory to
deal with unbounded quantities, which abound in practical
applications.

Following Williams, we start out with sets of acceptable gambles. From
those, we derive rationality criteria---avoiding sure loss and
coherence---and inference methods---natural extension---for
(unconditional) lower previsions. We then proceed to study various
aspects of the resulting theory, including the concept of expectation
(linear ... Read more

Next, we extend the framework of sets of acceptable gambles to consider
also unbounded quantities. As before, we again derive rationality
criteria and inference methods for lower previsions, this time also
allowing for conditioning. We apply this theory to construct
extensions of lower previsions from bounded random quantities to a
larger set of random quantities, based on ideas borrowed from the
theory of Dunford integration.

A first step is to extend a lower prevision to random quantities that
are bounded on the complement of a null set (essentially bounded
random quantities). This extension is achieved by a natural extension
procedure that can be motivated by a rationality axiom stating that
adding null random quantities does not affect acceptability.

In a further step, we approximate unbounded random quantities by a
sequences of bounded ones, and, in essence, we identify those for
which the induced lower prevision limit does not depend on the details
of the approximation. We call those random quantities 'previsible'. We
study previsibility by cut sequences, and arrive at a simple
sufficient condition. For the 2-monotone case, we establish a Choquet
integral representation for the extension. For the general case, we
prove that the extension can always be written as an envelope of
Dunford integrals. We end with some examples of the theory.

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Product Details

Publication date
2014
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons Ltd United States
Number of pages
448
Condition
New
Series
Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics
Number of Pages
448
Format
Hardback
Place of Publication
New York, United States
ISBN
9780470723777
SKU
V9780470723777
Shipping Time
Usually ships in 7 to 11 working days
Ref
99-1

About Troffaes, Matthias C. M.; de Cooman, Gert
Matthias Troffaes, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, UK Since gaining his PhD, Dr Troffaes has conducted research in Belgium and the US in imprecise probabilities, before becoming a lecturer in statistics at Durham. He has published papers in a variety of journals, and written two book chapters. Gert de Cooman, SYSTeMS Research Group, Ghent University, Belgium With ... Read more

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